On Mondays, Rani cooks her evening meal. She has a pizza, a burger or a curry with probabilities $$\(0.35,0.44,0.21\)$$ respectively. When she cooks a pizza, Rani has some fruit with probability $$\(0.3\)$$. When she cooks a burger, she has some fruit with probability $$\(0.8\)$$. When she cooks a curry, she never has any fruit. Find the probability that Rani does not have a burger given that she does not have any fruit. ........................................................................................................................................................ ........................................................................................................................................................ ........................................................................................................................................................ ........................................................................................................................................................ ........................................................................................................................................................ ........................................................................................................................................................ ........................................................................................................................................................ ........................................................................................................................................................ ........................................................................................................................................................ ........................................................................................................................................................ ........................................................................................................................................................ ........................................................................................................................................................ ........................................................................................................................................................ ........................................................................................................................................................ ........................................................................................................................................................
Exam No:9709_s20_qp_51 Year:2020 Question No:5(c)
Answer:
\(\mathrm{P}(\) not \(\mathrm{B} \mid\) not fruit \()=\frac{\mathrm{P}\left(\mathrm{B}^{\prime} \cap \mathrm{F}^{\prime}\right)}{\mathrm{P}\left(\mathrm{F}^{\prime}\right)}\)
\(\frac{0.35 \times 0.7+0.21 \times 1}{1-\text { their }(\mathbf{b})}\)
\(\frac{0.455}{0.543}\)
(M1 for 1 - their (b) or summing three appropriate 2-factor probabilities, correct or consistent with their tree diagram as denominator)
\(0.838\) or \(\frac{455}{543}\)
\(\frac{0.35 \times 0.7+0.21 \times 1}{1-\text { their }(\mathbf{b})}\)
\(\frac{0.455}{0.543}\)
(M1 for 1 - their (b) or summing three appropriate 2-factor probabilities, correct or consistent with their tree diagram as denominator)
\(0.838\) or \(\frac{455}{543}\)
Knowledge points:
5.3.4 calculate and use conditional probabilities in simple cases.
Solution:
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